South African scientist: AIDS is expected to die on its own within 40 years

Medical experts have found that antiviral treatment can not only prolong the life span of AIDS patients, but also reduce HIV infection. Experts have proposed that human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) testing be listed as a routine medical check-up program for all people, early detection of virus carriers, timely anti-viral treatment, so it is expected to inhibit the spread of AIDS within 5 years, let HIV in human society within 40 years Die.

Reduce transmission

Brian Williams, a former official of the World Health Organization and a professor of epidemiology at the South African Epidemiological Model and Analysis Center, said at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science that antiviral treatment can reduce the virus concentration to one in ten thousandth. The virus is reduced to one-fifth of the original, which means that if more virus carriers can receive antiviral treatment as soon as possible, the number of new infections will be reduced.

The CNN website quoted him on the 21st as saying: "We may effectively curb the spread of AIDS within five years." The United Nations Joint Programme on HIV/AIDS and the World Health Organization statistics show that there are about 33 million people worldwide. People are infected with HIV, 2 million people die of AIDS, and 2.7 million new infections. Often, an HIV carrier may contract 5 to 10 people before AIDS complications occur.

Economical

Williams recommends that people over the age of 15 receive HIV testing every year in order to detect the infected person as soon as possible and get antiviral treatment as soon as possible. But he also admits that the specific operation of this measure is quite difficult and costly.

Williams said that the implementation of this proposal is costly, and only one country in South Africa is expected to need $3 billion to $4 billion a year. However, from the perspective of the cost of hospitalization for AIDS patients and the early death of AIDS, this proposal is undoubtedly cost-effective. The cost of AIDS research and treatment worldwide is $30 billion a year, and some experts estimate that this number will double in 10 years.

Preparation pilot

Williams said: "I hope that we can start implementing this project within one or two years and fully cover patients within five years." The project will be piloted in Africa and the United States, and residents in the pilot areas will receive HIV testing once a year. Positive, start antiviral treatment immediately.

Within two years, it will be decided whether this measure will be promoted worldwide as a public health policy.

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