According to China Voices News, the Xinhua News Agency's monitoring of the country's agricultural and sideline products and agricultural materials price system shows that since January 26, the national pork price has continued to decline, and it has been more than two months since then. At present, the deceleration rate is still relatively fast, of which more than 50% of the provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities have reduced pork prices by more than 15%.
When the price of pork had risen so far, countless farmers had rushed into it and hoped to have a share of it. Nowadays, the disadvantages of the public's mentality show that these farmers have suffered a lot. So, what are the reasons for the decline in pork prices that lasted for two months?
Hefei pork prices dropped by more than two percent from last year. Yesterday morning, the reporter came to a vegetable market in Hefei, Anhui, compared with last year's highest price, pork prices have fallen by more than two percent, traders told reporters, "a pound fell a six or seven, A great deal of decline."
Compared with the retail price in the market, the wholesale price of pork has fallen even more. The current price of the wholesaler is not the same as before and after the Spring Festival: "The highest ribs are sold for more than 20, and the spare ribs can only be sold for 17 yuan."
Li Tao, deputy director of the Hefei Zhougudui Wholesale Market Information Center, said that such prices are not unexpected. After almost every Spring Festival, pork prices will have a significant drop. "This is a declining inertia after the holiday and there is a round of decline after the annual festival." Li Tao said.
According to the current situation of Bangladesh pig farmer in Jingyanggang, Shandong Yanggu, the price drop is related to the amount of live pigs. Due to the high pork prices last year, many farmers expanded the breeding scale of live pigs. Current changes in pork prices have obvious cycles. Sex:
Meng current situation: Agricultural and sideline products have a market law. We think this is normal. In the past, there was a saying that the festival was late for three days. After the Spring Festival, it was relatively slow. In the second quarter, it generally rebounded. It is mainly because of the good market conditions last year, and the number of pigs raised by farmers has increased.
The pigs whose costs have not been reduced are facing a new round of losing pork prices, but feed prices have not fallen, and labor costs and transportation costs have continued to rise. Many pig farmers are likely to face a new round of losses.
Li Tao: The current price, business households and farmers are at a meager profit.
Shandong is one of China's major provinces of pig production. The status quo of Meng was based on data. The price of live pigs fell below 7 yuan/kg for the first time this year and fell to the lowest price since May last year. If the average price of corn is about 1.1 yuan per catty, the Shandong pig breeding industry has entered the warning line of loss.
Meng Status: Now approaching the break-even point, the price of pigs is one to six times that of food. Our cost is one to six kilograms of corn. Farmers are one to fifty-five. At present, one kilogram of corn is a piece and multiplied by six pounds. It is six six. If it is less than six six, we lose money. The farmer is 5.5 kg of corn, which is six zero and five points.
Experts: In the coming period of time, the price of pork will be relatively stable. In terms of market rules, there will be upward and downward movements. Unfortunately, retail investors cannot see. So, this time, in the end is the normal seasonal fluctuations, or is it the beginning of a new round of pork prices that has been “striking and soaring?â€
Feng Yonghui, chief analyst of China Live Swine Early Warning Network, is very optimistic. He thinks that it is not the beginning of a new round of decline. It is a temporary fluctuation. The pork price should be relatively stable in the future:
Feng Yonghui: We think this price may fall below the bottom line by 50 cents. This may be the bottom line, and this momentum may continue up to May 1st. Before and after May 1st or May 1st, there may be a slight rebound in summer time. It may also rebound slightly after the rebound, but this year's price will not be too low.
Chen Chuan, director of the Shandong Provincial Price Bureau, also stated that the prices of agricultural and sideline products, including pork prices, are still the focus of price-related departments this year. If necessary, relevant departments will start buying pigs and stabilize pig prices:
Chen Chong: To improve the control plan for the live pig market and stabilize pig production and market prices. We have an emergency plan for live pigs, and there is a regulatory plan, that is, when the pig-food ratio reaches a certain level, we have an emergency mechanism.
Promoting large-scale, intensive feeding to evade market risks Even so, some scattered farmers in Shandong have started to withdraw from standby in order to avoid unnecessary losses from market risks. In response to this, Meng’s status quo indicates that the psychology of free-living households chasing and selling is very strong, which is detrimental to the sound development of the market:
The status quo of Meng: Retail investors are like this. When they see the market, they will stay in the sows. If they lose money, I will not have sows and will not be raised.
Avoiding pig production, but also including “non-increase or fall†in agricultural production, has always been a difficult problem to solve. Recently, many large companies investing in hog production have been questioned, but Feng Yonghui said that in fact, only large scale aquaculture companies can take the initiative to obtain market information, avoid market risks, and withstand the ups and downs of the market economy.
Feng Yonghui: To promote large-scale development, so that the scale of enterprises accounted for a higher proportion, a large number of retail investors to the city to work out of the industry and increase the scale of the industry, so that because the scale of the factory to do pig farming is very Standardization, large-scale, intensive feeding, relatively speaking, the prevention and control of disease, the advantages of more obvious than the retail, prevention and disease prevention is better.
When the price of pork had risen so far, countless farmers had rushed into it and hoped to have a share of it. Nowadays, the disadvantages of the public's mentality show that these farmers have suffered a lot. So, what are the reasons for the decline in pork prices that lasted for two months?
Hefei pork prices dropped by more than two percent from last year. Yesterday morning, the reporter came to a vegetable market in Hefei, Anhui, compared with last year's highest price, pork prices have fallen by more than two percent, traders told reporters, "a pound fell a six or seven, A great deal of decline."
Compared with the retail price in the market, the wholesale price of pork has fallen even more. The current price of the wholesaler is not the same as before and after the Spring Festival: "The highest ribs are sold for more than 20, and the spare ribs can only be sold for 17 yuan."
Li Tao, deputy director of the Hefei Zhougudui Wholesale Market Information Center, said that such prices are not unexpected. After almost every Spring Festival, pork prices will have a significant drop. "This is a declining inertia after the holiday and there is a round of decline after the annual festival." Li Tao said.
According to the current situation of Bangladesh pig farmer in Jingyanggang, Shandong Yanggu, the price drop is related to the amount of live pigs. Due to the high pork prices last year, many farmers expanded the breeding scale of live pigs. Current changes in pork prices have obvious cycles. Sex:
Meng current situation: Agricultural and sideline products have a market law. We think this is normal. In the past, there was a saying that the festival was late for three days. After the Spring Festival, it was relatively slow. In the second quarter, it generally rebounded. It is mainly because of the good market conditions last year, and the number of pigs raised by farmers has increased.
The pigs whose costs have not been reduced are facing a new round of losing pork prices, but feed prices have not fallen, and labor costs and transportation costs have continued to rise. Many pig farmers are likely to face a new round of losses.
Li Tao: The current price, business households and farmers are at a meager profit.
Shandong is one of China's major provinces of pig production. The status quo of Meng was based on data. The price of live pigs fell below 7 yuan/kg for the first time this year and fell to the lowest price since May last year. If the average price of corn is about 1.1 yuan per catty, the Shandong pig breeding industry has entered the warning line of loss.
Meng Status: Now approaching the break-even point, the price of pigs is one to six times that of food. Our cost is one to six kilograms of corn. Farmers are one to fifty-five. At present, one kilogram of corn is a piece and multiplied by six pounds. It is six six. If it is less than six six, we lose money. The farmer is 5.5 kg of corn, which is six zero and five points.
Experts: In the coming period of time, the price of pork will be relatively stable. In terms of market rules, there will be upward and downward movements. Unfortunately, retail investors cannot see. So, this time, in the end is the normal seasonal fluctuations, or is it the beginning of a new round of pork prices that has been “striking and soaring?â€
Feng Yonghui, chief analyst of China Live Swine Early Warning Network, is very optimistic. He thinks that it is not the beginning of a new round of decline. It is a temporary fluctuation. The pork price should be relatively stable in the future:
Feng Yonghui: We think this price may fall below the bottom line by 50 cents. This may be the bottom line, and this momentum may continue up to May 1st. Before and after May 1st or May 1st, there may be a slight rebound in summer time. It may also rebound slightly after the rebound, but this year's price will not be too low.
Chen Chuan, director of the Shandong Provincial Price Bureau, also stated that the prices of agricultural and sideline products, including pork prices, are still the focus of price-related departments this year. If necessary, relevant departments will start buying pigs and stabilize pig prices:
Chen Chong: To improve the control plan for the live pig market and stabilize pig production and market prices. We have an emergency plan for live pigs, and there is a regulatory plan, that is, when the pig-food ratio reaches a certain level, we have an emergency mechanism.
Promoting large-scale, intensive feeding to evade market risks Even so, some scattered farmers in Shandong have started to withdraw from standby in order to avoid unnecessary losses from market risks. In response to this, Meng’s status quo indicates that the psychology of free-living households chasing and selling is very strong, which is detrimental to the sound development of the market:
The status quo of Meng: Retail investors are like this. When they see the market, they will stay in the sows. If they lose money, I will not have sows and will not be raised.
Avoiding pig production, but also including “non-increase or fall†in agricultural production, has always been a difficult problem to solve. Recently, many large companies investing in hog production have been questioned, but Feng Yonghui said that in fact, only large scale aquaculture companies can take the initiative to obtain market information, avoid market risks, and withstand the ups and downs of the market economy.
Feng Yonghui: To promote large-scale development, so that the scale of enterprises accounted for a higher proportion, a large number of retail investors to the city to work out of the industry and increase the scale of the industry, so that because the scale of the factory to do pig farming is very Standardization, large-scale, intensive feeding, relatively speaking, the prevention and control of disease, the advantages of more obvious than the retail, prevention and disease prevention is better.
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